The role of emotions in electoral preferences according to educational level in Monterrey, Mexico

  • Roberto Zarazúa Olvera Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León
  • Elías Alvarado Lagunas Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León

Abstract

The study analyzes how emotions, mediated by educational level, influence voting preferences in the 2024 mayoral elections in Monterrey, Mexico. Through an approach that combines correspondence analysis, sentiment analysis, and Sankey diagrams, the interaction between emotions evoked by political campaigns and voters' different levels of education is explored. Using data obtained from face-to-face surveys applied through multi-stage random probability sampling, emotional patterns are identified in preferences for candidates Mariana Rodríguez Cantú and Adrián Emilio de la Garza Santos. The results show that voters with a lower educational level respond predominantly to emotions associated with charisma and closeness, while those with a higher educational level value emotional aspects related to experience and trust in governance. This analysis offers new perspectives on how emotions and education interact in the formation of electoral preferences, highlighting the importance of understanding emotional factors for designing more effective political strategies in urban contexts.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

AMAI (Asociación Mexicana de Agencias de Inteligencia de Mercado y Opinión Pública). (2022). Nota metodológica de la Regla NSE AMAI 2022. Recuperado de https://www.amai.org/descargas/Nota_Metodologico_NSE_2022_v5.pdf

Banks, A. J. y Valentino, N. A. (2012). Emotional substrates of white racial attitudes. American Journal of Political Science, 56(2), 286–297.

Bosch, A., y Riba, C. (2005). Coyuntura económica y voto en España. Papers. Revista de Sociología, 75, 117-140.

Brader, T., Valentino, N. A. y Suhay, E. (2008). What triggers public opposition to immigration? Anxiety, group cues, and immigration threat. American Journal of Political Science, 52(4), 959–978.

Campbell, A., Converse, P. E., Miller, W. E., y Stokes, D. E. (1960). The American Voter. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Cornelius, W. A. (1996). Mexican Politics in Transition: The Breakdown of a One-Party-Dominant Regime. University of California, San Diego.

Cramer, K. J. (2016). The Politics of Resentment: Rural Consciousness in Wisconsin and the Rise of Scott Walker. University of Chicago Press.

Downs, A. (1957). An economic theory of democracy. New York: Harper.

Duch, R., y Stevenson, R. (2008). The economic voting: How political and economic institutions condition electoral results. Cambridge, MA: Cambridge University Press.

Fraile, M. (2005). Cuando la economía entra en las urnas. El voto económico en España (1979-1996). Madrid: Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas.

Fraile, M., y Lewis, M. S. (2010). Economic voting in Spain: A 2000 panel test. Electoral Studies, 29(2), 210-220.

Harrop, M. y Miller, W. L. (1987). Elections and voters: A comparative introduction. Hampshire, UK: Macmillan.

Huddy, L., Mason, L. y Aarøe, L. (2015). Expressive partisanship: Campaign involvement, political emotion, and partisan identity. American Political Science Review, 109(1), 1–17.

Informador (2024, 3 de marzo). Elecciones México 2024: Jóvenes de 18 a 29 años, el sector de la población con más electores. Recuperado de https://www.informador.mx/Elecciones-Mexico-2024-Jovenes-de-18-a-29-anos-el-sector-de-la-poblacion-con-mas-electores-l202403030001.html

Jaime, A., y Sáenz, J. L. (2007). Atribución de la responsabilidad y voto económico: el caso de España. Trimestre Económico, LXXIV(2), 379-413.

Jaime, A., y Sáenz, J. L. (2001). El comportamiento electoral en la democracia española. Madrid: Centro de Estudios Políticos y Constitucionales.

Lago, I., y Montero, J. R. (2010). Participación y resultados electorales en España. Revista Española de Investigaciones Sociológicas, 130, 97-116.

LeDoux, J. E. (1996). The Emotional Brain: The Mysterious Underpinnings of Emotional Life. Nueva York: Simon and Schuster.

Lipset, S. M., y Rokkan, S. (1967). Party systems and voter alignments: Cross-national perspectives. New York: Free Press.

Liu, S., Li, F., Li, F., Cheng, X. y Shen, H. (2013). Adaptive Co-Training SVM for Sentiment Classification on Tweets. In CIKM '13: Proceedings of the 22nd ACM international conference on Information & Knowledge Management (pp. 2079-2088).

Lodge, M. y Taber, C. S. (2013). The Rationalizing Voter. Cambridge University Press.

Marcus, G. E. (2000). Emotions in Politics. Annual Review of Political Science, 3, 221-250.

Marcus, G. E., Neuman, W. R., y MacKuen, M. (2000). Affective Intelligence and Political Judgment. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.

Marcus, G. E., Neuman, W. R. y MacKuen, M. (2017). Affective Intelligence and Political Judgment (2nd ed.). University of Chicago Press.

Mehta, R., Mehta, D., Chheda, D., Shah, C., y Chawan, P. (2012). Sentiment Analysis and Influence Tracking using Twitter. International Journal of Advanced Research in Computer Science and Electronics Engineering (IJARCSEE), 1(2).

Montero, J. R. (1994a). Sobre las preferencias electorales en España: fragmentación y polarización (1977-1993). In P. del Castillo (Ed.), Comportamiento político y electoral (pp. 51-124). Madrid: Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas.

Montero, A. P. (1994b). Democracy and Democratization: Latin America in Comparative Perspective. Routledge.

Montero, J. R., Calvo, K., y Martínez, A. (2008). El voto religioso en España y Portugal. Revista Internacional de Sociología, 66(51), 19-54.

Nguyen, H. y Jung, J. (2018). SocioScope: A framework for understanding Internet of Social Knowledge. Future Generation Computer Systems, 83.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.future.2018.01.064

Pérez, C. y Santín, D. (2007). Minería de datos: técnicas y herramientas. Editorial Thompson.

Petersen, M. B. (2012). The evolutionary psychology of mass politics. Advances in Political Psychology, 33(1), 1–23.

Plutchik, R. (1980). Emotion: A Psychoevolutionary Synthesis. Nueva York: Harper & Row.

Redlawsk, D. P., Civettini, A. J. y Emmerson, K. M. (2010). The affective tipping point: Do motivated reasoners ever “get it”? Political Psychology, 31(4), 563–593.

Valentino, N. A., Brader, T., Groenendyk, E. W., Gregorowicz, K. y Hutchings, V. L. (2011). Election night’s alright for fighting: The role of emotions in political participation. Journal of Politics, 73(1), 156–170.

Zarazúa, R. y Alvarado, E. (2020). Los medios digitales como herramienta de información en los votantes de Nuevo León, México. Revista Trayectorias, 22(51), 49-63.
Published
2025-02-21
How to Cite
Zarazúa Olvera, R., & Alvarado Lagunas, E. (2025). The role of emotions in electoral preferences according to educational level in Monterrey, Mexico. RIDE Revista Iberoamericana Para La Investigación Y El Desarrollo Educativo, 15(30). https://doi.org/10.23913/ride.v15i30.2306
Section
Scientific articles